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Seasonal difference in temporal transferability of an ecological model: near-term predictions of lemming outbreak abundances
(Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2018-10-15)
Ecological models have been criticized for a lack of validation of their temporal transferability. Here we answer this call by investigating the temporal transferability of a dynamic state-space model developed to estimate season-dependent biotic and climatic predictors of spatial variability in outbreak abundance of the Norwegian lemming. Modelled summer and winter dynamics parametrized by spatial ...