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dc.contributor.authorVilas, Daniel
dc.contributor.authorColl, Marta
dc.contributor.authorPedersen, Torstein
dc.contributor.authorCorrales, Xavier
dc.contributor.authorFilbee-Dexter, Karen
dc.contributor.authorWernberg, Thomas
dc.date.accessioned2021-08-11T12:00:11Z
dc.date.available2021-08-11T12:00:11Z
dc.date.issued2020-11-22
dc.description.abstractEnvironmental stressors related to climate change and other anthropogenic activities are impacting Arctic marine ecosystems at exceptional rates. Within this context, predicting future scenarios of deep-sea ecosystems and their consequences linked with the fate of coastal areas is a growing need and challenge. We used an existing food-web model developed to represent the outer basin of the Malangen fjord, a northern Norwegian deep-sea ecosystem, to assess the potential effects of plausible future trajectories of change for major drivers in the area, including links to coastal kelp forests. We considered four major drivers (kelp particulate organic matter [POM] production entering the deep sea, fishing effort, king crab invasion, and ocean warming) to project 12 future scenarios using the temporal dynamic module of Ecopath with Ecosim approach. Overall, we found that the impact of warming on the deep-sea ecosystem structure and functioning, as well as on ecosystem services, are predicted to be greater than changes in kelp forest dynamics and their POM production entering the deep sea and the king crab invasion. Yet, the cumulative impacts are predicted to be more important than noncumulative since some stressors acted synergistically. These results illustrate the vulnerability of sub-Arctic and Arctic marine ecosystems to climate change and consequently call for conservation, restoration, and adaptation measures in deep-sea and adjacent ecosystems. Results also highlight the importance of considering additional stressors affecting deep-sea communities to predict cumulative impacts in an ecosystem-based management and global change context and the interlinkages between coastal and deep-sea environments.en_US
dc.descriptionThis is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Vilas, Coll, Pedersen, Corrales, Filbee-Dexter, Wernberg. Future trajectories of change for an Arctic deep-sea ecosystem connected to coastal kelp forests. Restoration Ecology. 2021;29(S2), which has been published in final form at [Link to final article using the DOI]. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions.en_US
dc.identifier.citationVilas, Coll, Pedersen, Corrales, Filbee-Dexter, Wernberg. Future trajectories of change for an Arctic deep-sea ecosystem connected to coastal kelp forests. Restoration Ecology. 2021;29(S2)en_US
dc.identifier.cristinIDFRIDAID 1905103
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/rec.13327
dc.identifier.issn1061-2971
dc.identifier.issn1526-100X
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10037/21995
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherWileyen_US
dc.relation.journalRestoration Ecology
dc.relation.projectIDNorges forskningsråd: 255085en_US
dc.relation.projectIDinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/RCN/MARINFORSK/255085/Norway/Kelp export: fuel for adjacent communities in changing arctic ecosystems?//en_US
dc.rights.accessRightsopenAccessen_US
dc.rights.holder© 2021 Society for Ecological Restorationen_US
dc.subjectVDP::Mathematics and natural science: 400::Zoology and botany: 480en_US
dc.subjectVDP::Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Zoologiske og botaniske fag: 480en_US
dc.titleFuture trajectories of change for an Arctic deep-sea ecosystem connected to coastal kelp forestsen_US
dc.type.versionacceptedVersionen_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.typeTidsskriftartikkelen_US
dc.typePeer revieweden_US


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