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dc.contributor.authorRypdal, Kristoffer
dc.contributor.authorRypdal, Martin
dc.date.accessioned2021-11-24T13:12:28Z
dc.date.available2021-11-24T13:12:28Z
dc.date.issued2020-09-06
dc.description.abstractIn a given country, the cumulative death toll of the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic follows a sigmoid curve as a function of time. In most cases, the curve is well described by the Gompertz function, which is characterized by two essential parameters, the initial growth rate and the decay rate as the first epidemic wave subsides. These parameters are determined by socioeconomic factors and the countermeasures to halt the epidemic. The Gompertz model implies that the total death toll depends exponentially, and hence very sensitively, on the ratio between these rates. The remarkably different epidemic curves for the first epidemic wave in Sweden and Norway and many other countries are classified and discussed in this framework, and their usefulness for the planning of mitigation strategies is discussed.en_US
dc.identifier.citationRypdal, Rypdal. A Parsimonious Description and Cross-Country Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemic Curves. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (IJERPH). 2020en_US
dc.identifier.cristinIDFRIDAID 1892205
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/ijerph17186487
dc.identifier.issn1661-7827
dc.identifier.issn1660-4601
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10037/23157
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherMDPIen_US
dc.relation.journalInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (IJERPH)
dc.rights.accessRightsopenAccessen_US
dc.rights.holderCopyright 2020 The Author(s)en_US
dc.subjectVDP::Mathematics and natural science: 400::Mathematics: 410::Statistics: 412en_US
dc.subjectVDP::Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Matematikk: 410::Statistikk: 412en_US
dc.titleA Parsimonious Description and Cross-Country Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemic Curvesen_US
dc.type.versionpublishedVersionen_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.typeTidsskriftartikkelen_US
dc.typePeer revieweden_US


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