dc.contributor.author | Keogan, Katharine | |
dc.contributor.author | Daunt, Francis | |
dc.contributor.author | Wanless, Sarah | |
dc.contributor.author | Phillips, Richard A. | |
dc.contributor.author | Walling, Craig A. | |
dc.contributor.author | Agnew, Philippa | |
dc.contributor.author | Ainley, David G. | |
dc.contributor.author | Anker-Nilssen, Tycho | |
dc.contributor.author | Ballard, Grant | |
dc.contributor.author | Barrett, Robert T | |
dc.contributor.author | Barton, Kerry J. | |
dc.contributor.author | Bech, Claus | |
dc.contributor.author | Becker, Peter | |
dc.contributor.author | Berglund, Per-Arvid | |
dc.contributor.author | Bollache, Loïc | |
dc.contributor.author | Bond, Alexander L. | |
dc.contributor.author | Bouwhuis, Sandra | |
dc.contributor.author | Bradley, Russell W. | |
dc.contributor.author | Burr, Zofia | |
dc.contributor.author | Camphuysen, Kees | |
dc.contributor.author | Catry, Paulo | |
dc.contributor.author | Chiaradia, Andre | |
dc.contributor.author | Christensen-Dalsgaard, Signe | |
dc.contributor.author | Cuthbert, Richard | |
dc.contributor.author | Dehnhard, Nina | |
dc.contributor.author | Descamps, Sébastien | |
dc.contributor.author | Diamond, Tony | |
dc.contributor.author | Divoky, George | |
dc.contributor.author | Drummond, Hugh | |
dc.contributor.author | Dugger, Katie M. | |
dc.contributor.author | Dunn, Michael J. | |
dc.contributor.author | Emmerson, Louise | |
dc.contributor.author | Erikstad, Kjell Einar | |
dc.contributor.author | Fort, Jérôme | |
dc.contributor.author | Fraser, William | |
dc.contributor.author | Genovart, Meritxell | |
dc.contributor.author | Gilg, Olivier | |
dc.contributor.author | González-Solís, Jacob | |
dc.contributor.author | Granadeiro, José Pedro | |
dc.contributor.author | Grémillet, David | |
dc.contributor.author | Hansen, Jannik | |
dc.contributor.author | Hanssen, Sveinn Are | |
dc.contributor.author | Harris, Mike | |
dc.contributor.author | Hedd, April | |
dc.contributor.author | Hinke, Jefferson | |
dc.contributor.author | Igual, José Manuel | |
dc.contributor.author | Jahncke, Jaime | |
dc.contributor.author | Jones, Ian | |
dc.contributor.author | Kappes, Peter J. | |
dc.contributor.author | Lang, Johannes | |
dc.contributor.author | Langset, Magdalene | |
dc.contributor.author | Lescroël, Amélie | |
dc.contributor.author | Lorentsen, Svein-Håkon | |
dc.contributor.author | Lyver, Phil O’B. | |
dc.contributor.author | Mallory, Mark | |
dc.contributor.author | Moe, Børge | |
dc.contributor.author | Montevecchi, William A. | |
dc.contributor.author | Monticelli, David | |
dc.contributor.author | Mostello, Carolyn | |
dc.contributor.author | Newell, Mark | |
dc.contributor.author | Nicholson, Lisa | |
dc.contributor.author | Nisbet, Ian | |
dc.contributor.author | Olsson, Olof | |
dc.contributor.author | Oro, Daniel | |
dc.contributor.author | Pattison, Vivian | |
dc.contributor.author | Poisbleau, Maud | |
dc.contributor.author | Pyk, Tanya | |
dc.contributor.author | Quintana, Flavio | |
dc.contributor.author | Ramos, Jaime A. | |
dc.contributor.author | Ramos, Raül | |
dc.contributor.author | Reiertsen, Tone Kirstin | |
dc.contributor.author | Rodríguez, Cristina | |
dc.contributor.author | Ryan, Peter | |
dc.contributor.author | Sanz-Aguilar, Ana | |
dc.contributor.author | Schmidt, Niels M. | |
dc.contributor.author | Shannon, Paula | |
dc.contributor.author | Sittler, Benoit | |
dc.contributor.author | Southwell, Colin | |
dc.contributor.author | Surman, Christopher | |
dc.contributor.author | Svagelj, Walter S. | |
dc.contributor.author | Trivelpiece, Wayne | |
dc.contributor.author | Warzybok, Pete | |
dc.contributor.author | Watanuki, Yutaka | |
dc.contributor.author | Weimerskirch, Henri | |
dc.contributor.author | Wilson, Peter R. | |
dc.contributor.author | Wood, Andrew G. | |
dc.contributor.author | Philimore, Albert B. | |
dc.contributor.author | Lewis, Sue | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2018-09-19T08:23:54Z | |
dc.date.available | 2018-09-19T08:23:54Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2018-04-02 | |
dc.description.abstract | Reproductive timing in many taxa plays a key role in determining breeding productivity, and is often sensitive to climatic conditions. Current climate change may alter the timing of breeding at different rates across trophic levels, potentially resulting in temporal mismatch between the resource requirements of predators and their prey. This is of particular concern for higher-trophic-level organisms, whose longer generation times confer a lower rate of evolutionary rescue than primary producers or consumers. However, the disconnection between studies of ecological change in marine systems makes it difficult to detect general changes in the timing of reproduction. Here, we use a comprehensive meta-analysis of 209 phenological time series from 145 breeding populations to show that, on average, seabird populations worldwide have not adjusted their breeding seasons over time (−0.020 days yr<sup>−1</sup>) or in response to sea surface temperature (SST) (−0.272 days °C<sup>−1</sup>) between 1952 and 2015. However, marked between-year variation in timing observed in resident species and some Pelecaniformes and Suliformes (cormorants, gannets and boobies) may imply that timing, in some cases, is affected by unmeasured environmental conditions. This limited temperature-mediated plasticity of reproductive timing in seabirds potentially makes these top predators highly vulnerable to future mismatch with lower-trophic-level resources. | en_US |
dc.description.sponsorship | The University of Edinburgh
NERC
CEH
JNCC
The Research Fund – Flanders FWO
The National Research Council of Argentina
Wildlife Conservation Society
FCT – Portugal
The Falkland Islands Government
NSERC
Environment Canada
New Brunswick Wildlife Council
The Natural Environment Research Council
BirdLife Australia
Deakin University
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
The Australian Antarctic programme
The Norwegian Environment Agency
Ministry of Climate and Environment
Ministry of Petroleum and Energy
The Norwegian Oil and Gas Association
The French Polar Institute
US National Science Foundation
New Zealand’s Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment | en_US |
dc.description | Accepted manuscript version. Published version available at <a href=https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0115-z> https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0115-z</a>. | en_US |
dc.identifier.citation | Keogan, K., Daunt, F., Wanless, S., Phillips, R.A., Walling, C.A., Agnew, P., ... Lewis, S. (2018). Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds. Nature Climate Change, 8, 313-318. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0115-z | en_US |
dc.identifier.cristinID | FRIDAID 1577542 | |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1038/s41558-018-0115-z | |
dc.identifier.issn | 1758-678X | |
dc.identifier.issn | 1758-6798 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/10037/13831 | |
dc.language.iso | eng | en_US |
dc.publisher | Nature Publishing Group | en_US |
dc.relation.journal | Nature Climate Change | |
dc.rights.accessRights | openAccess | en_US |
dc.subject | VDP::Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Zoologiske og botaniske fag: 480::Økologi: 488 | en_US |
dc.subject | VDP::Mathematics and natural science: 400::Zoology and botany: 480::Ecology: 488 | en_US |
dc.title | Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds | en_US |
dc.type | Journal article | en_US |
dc.type | Tidsskriftartikkel | en_US |
dc.type | Peer reviewed | en_US |