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dc.contributor.authorDankel, Dorothy Jane
dc.contributor.authorTiller, Rachel
dc.contributor.authorKoelma, Elske
dc.contributor.authorLam, Vicky W.Y.
dc.contributor.authorLiu, Yajie
dc.date.accessioned2020-12-03T12:57:07Z
dc.date.available2020-12-03T12:57:07Z
dc.date.issued2020-07-08
dc.description.abstractClimate change in the Arctic is occurring at a rapid rate. In Longyearbyen, Svalbard, the world’s northernmost city, deadly avalanches and permafrost thaw-induced architectural destruction has disrupted local governance norms and responsibilities. In the North Atlantic, the warming ocean temperatures have contributed to a rapid expansion of the mackerel stock which has spurred both geo-political tensions but also tensions at the science-policy interface of fish quota setting. These local climate-induced changes have created a domino-like chain reaction that intensifies through time as a warming Arctic penetrates deeper into responsibilities of governing institutions and science institutions. In face with the increasing uncertain futures of climate-induced changes, policy choices also increase revealing a type of “snowballing” of possible futures facing decision-makers. We introduce a portmanteau-inspired concept called “The Melting Snowball Effect” that encompasses the chain reaction (“domino effect”) that increases the number of plausible scenarios (“snowball effect”) with climate change (melting snow, ice and thawing permafrost). We demonstrate the use of “The Melting Snowball Effect” as a heuristic within a Responsible Research and Innovation (RRI) framework of anticipation, engagement and reflection. To do this, we developed plausible scenarios based on participatory stakeholder workshops and narratives from in-depth interviews for deliberative discussions among academics, citizens and policymakers, designed for informed decision-making in response to climate change complexities. We observe generational differences in discussing future climate scenarios, particularly that the mixed group where three generations were represented had the most diverse and thorough deliberations.en_US
dc.identifier.citationDankel, Tiller, Koelma, Lam, Liu. The melting snowball effect: A heuristic for sustainable Arctic governance under climate change. Frontiers in Marine Science. 2020;7:537:1-17en_US
dc.identifier.cristinIDFRIDAID 1854442
dc.identifier.doi10.3389/fmars.2020.00537
dc.identifier.issn2296-7745
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10037/19973
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherFrontiers Mediaen_US
dc.relation.journalFrontiers in Marine Science
dc.relation.projectIDinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/RCN/POLARPROG/257628/Norway/An interdisciplinary investigation into scenarios of national and intl conflicts in the Svalbard zone under a changing climate in the Arctic//en_US
dc.rights.accessRightsopenAccessen_US
dc.rights.holderCopyright 2020 The Author(s)en_US
dc.subjectVDP::Social science: 200::Economics: 210en_US
dc.subjectVDP::Samfunnsvitenskap: 200::Økonomi: 210en_US
dc.titleThe melting snowball effect: A heuristic for sustainable Arctic governance under climate changeen_US
dc.type.versionpublishedVersionen_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.typeTidsskriftartikkelen_US
dc.typePeer revieweden_US


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