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dc.contributor.authorFredriksen, Hege-Beate
dc.contributor.authorBerner, Judith
dc.contributor.authorSubramanian, Aneesh C.
dc.contributor.authorCapotondi, Antonietta
dc.date.accessioned2021-03-16T14:06:00Z
dc.date.available2021-03-16T14:06:00Z
dc.date.issued2020-10-22
dc.description.abstractThe latest generation of coupled models, the sixth Coupled Models Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), is used to study the changes in the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in a warming climate. For the four future scenarios studied, the sea surface temperature variability increases in most CMIP6 models, but to varying degrees. This increase is linked to a weakening of the east‐west temperature gradient in the tropical Pacific Ocean, which is evident across all models. Just as in previous generations of climate models, we find that many characteristics of future ENSO remain uncertain. This includes changes in dominant time scale, extratropical teleconnection patterns, and amplitude of El Niño and La Niña events. For models with the strongest increase in future variability, the majority of the increase happens in the Eastern Pacific, where the strongest El Niño events usually occur.en_US
dc.identifier.citationFredriksen, Berner, Subramanian, Capotondi. How Does El Niño–Southern Oscillation Change Under Global Warming—A First Look at CMIP6. Geophysical Research Letters. 2020;47en_US
dc.identifier.cristinIDFRIDAID 1848898
dc.identifier.doi10.1029/2020GL090640
dc.identifier.issn0094-8276
dc.identifier.issn1944-8007
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10037/20697
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherAmerican Geophysical Unionen_US
dc.relation.isbasedonThe CMIP6 data are available through this site: <a href=https://pcmdi.llnl.gov/CMIP6/>https://pcmdi.llnl.gov/CMIP6/</a>. Code used for this paper will be available on Github: <a href=https://github.com/Hegebf/enso_paper>https://github.com/Hegebf/enso_paper</a>.en_US
dc.relation.journalGeophysical Research Letters
dc.rights.accessRightsopenAccessen_US
dc.rights.holderCopyright 2020 The Author(s)en_US
dc.subjectVDP::Mathematics and natural science: 400::Geosciences: 450::Meteorology: 453en_US
dc.subjectVDP::Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Geofag: 450::Meteorologi: 453en_US
dc.titleHow Does El Niño–Southern Oscillation Change Under Global Warming—A First Look at CMIP6en_US
dc.type.versionpublishedVersionen_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.typeTidsskriftartikkelen_US
dc.typePeer revieweden_US


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