• Estimating Remaining Carbon Budgets Using Temperature Responses Informed by CMIP6 

      Rypdal, Martin Wibe; Boers, Niklas; Fredriksen, Hege-Beate; Eiselt, Kai-Uwe; Johansen, Andreas; Martinsen, Andreas Rostrup; Mentzoni, Endre Falck; Graversen, Rune; Rypdal, Kristoffer (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2021-07-12)
      A remaining carbon budget (RCB) estimates how much CO2 we can emit and still reach a specific temperature target. The RCB concept is attractive since it easily communicates to the public and policymakers, but RCBs are also subject to uncertainties. The expected warming levels for a given carbon budget has a wide uncertainty range, which increases with less ambitious targets, i.e., with higher CO2 ...