Boyd, Kevin; Wang, Zhuo; Walsh, John; Stoll, Johannes Patrick (Journal article; Tidsskriftartikkel; Peer reviewed, 2023-06-21)
The subseasonal prediction of polar low (PL) activity is explored using a hybrid
statistical-dynamical approach. A previously developed PL genesis potential index is paired with ECMWF
reforecasts and forecasts to predict regional statistics of PL activity across the sub-Arctic. Regional PL activity
is skillfully predicted in all regions at forecast ranges of up to a month. Additionally, the ...