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Dynamic spare parts transportation model for Arctic production facility

Permanent lenke
https://hdl.handle.net/10037/8630
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13198-015-0379-x
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article.pdf (708.3Kb)
(PDF)
Dato
2015-09-14
Type
Journal article
Tidsskriftartikkel
Peer reviewed

Forfatter
Ayele, Yonas Zewdu; Barabadi, Abbas; Barabady, Javad
Sammendrag
Timely delivery of the required spare parts plays an important role in meeting the availability target and reducing the downtime of production facilities. Spare parts logistics is affected in complex ways while operating in the Arctic, since the area is sparsely populated and has insufficient infrastructure. It is also greatly affected by the distinctive operational environment of the region, such as cold temperature, varying forms of sea ice, blizzards, heavy fog, etc. Therefore, in order to have an effective logistic plan, the effect of all influencing factors, called covariates, on the transportation of the spare parts need to be identified, modelled and quantified by the use of an appropriate dynamic model. The traditional models, however, lack the comprehensive integration of the effect of covariates on the spare parts transportation. The purpose of this paper is to introduce the concept of a dynamic model for spare parts transportation in Arctic conditions by considering the time-independent and time-dependent covariates. The model continuously updates the prior probabilities according to the most recent time-dependent covariates to provide posterior probabilities. The application of the model is illustrated using a case study.
Beskrivelse
Accepted manuscript version. Published version at http://doi.org/10.1007/s13198-015-0379-x.
Forlag
Springer Verlag
Sitering
International Journal of Systems Assurance Engineering and Management 2015, 7(1):84-98
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