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dc.contributor.advisorMyrland, Øystein
dc.contributor.advisorVassdal, Terje
dc.contributor.authorLarsson, Marius Runningen
dc.date.accessioned2019-06-12T07:47:13Z
dc.date.available2019-06-12T07:47:13Z
dc.date.issued2016-05-31
dc.description.abstractUncertainty in the value chain of fisheries exists and as a result, a production model taking uncertainty into account is important for such a business to be efficient. A way to better plan under uncertain conditions is through the use of stochastic programming. The literature for which this is applied to fisheries is limited. Constructing, testing, and evaluating such a model's applications for a fishery processing plant producing dried and salted, and fresh fish is the purpose of the thesis. This is done through a case study where the method of stochastic optimization is applied. Initially, scenarios representing the underlying distributions are generated through time series models for the variables and parameters exhibiting uncertain behaviour. These scenarios are used as input values for the mathematical program representing the value chain of the fishery. The results yielded in this thesis indicate that it is indeed an increase in efficiency to be had applying such a model, although the low value of the stochastic solution (VSS) estimates makes it difficult to conclude with certainty. Consequently, it is suggested to increase the complexity of the model to better represent the whole value chain in greater detail which is expected to increase the VSS. Furthermore should different scenario generating methods be evaluated for both harvest and price to compare the stability of the results as per now they are suspected to be to somewhat unstable as indicated by their dispersion and central tendency results.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10037/15531
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherUiT Norges arktiske universiteten_US
dc.publisherUiT The Arctic University of Norwayen_US
dc.rights.accessRightsopenAccessen_US
dc.rights.holderCopyright 2016 The Author(s)
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0en_US
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported (CC BY-NC-SA 3.0)en_US
dc.subject.courseIDSOK-3901
dc.subjectVDP::Samfunnsvitenskap: 200::Økonomi: 210::Samfunnsøkonomi: 212en_US
dc.subjectVDP::Social science: 200::Economics: 210::Economics: 212en_US
dc.subjectStochastic Programmingen_US
dc.subjectScenario Generationen_US
dc.subjectARIMAen_US
dc.subjectFisheriesen_US
dc.subjectStochastic Optimizationen_US
dc.titleProduction Planning in Fisheries Under Uncertainty. Stochastic Optimization and Scenario Generation - A Case Studyen_US
dc.typeMaster thesisen_US
dc.typeMastergradsoppgaveen_US


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Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported (CC BY-NC-SA 3.0)
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported (CC BY-NC-SA 3.0)